Transition Security Project

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Geopolitics

The US and UK militaries are not structured for defence, but for global dominance. Whether through decades of overseas military interventions, or by overseeing and collaborating in Israel’s genocidal assault on Palestine, this global strategy of dominance is a source of geopolitical instability. US dominance and its attempt to divide the world into competing power blocs is also a fundamental barrier to climate collaboration.

We commission research on the geopolitical threats posed by the global military strategies of the US and the UK and the risks they pose to the climate transition.

12 Publications

Working Class Security

Expanding the US warfare state has made the working class less secure. Prioritising everyday security over military expansion is a better electoral strategy for progressives.

Published December 16, 2025

Confronting the Power of the Global Military Industry

The military and fossil fuel industries form a powerful nexus. What kind of coalition is needed to counter their political power?

Published December 11, 2025

Bread and Butter Is Not Enough

Trade unions are grappling with an era of rearmament and climate breakdown. Amid these crises, a renewed labour internationalism is needed.

Published December 9, 2025

Polycrisis: A Breviary

Today’s world is beset by several overlapping crises. Movements on the frontline are mapping out strategies for survival.

Published December 2, 2025

Venture Capital Statecraft: The UK’s New Growth Model

The UK government has tied its growth model and security strategy to the development of a US-dominated defence tech sector.

Published November 25, 2025

Imperial State Capitalism

A new geopolitics is shaping the development of AI and the energy transition.

Published November 18, 2025

In the Name of “Rebalancing”: An Assault on Trade

The US has imposed a harsh global trade regime to reorder the world economy. Amid the chaos, new possibilities may emerge.

Published November 10, 2025

Cold War on a Warming World

The US foreign policy response to China's economic development is a threat to the global climate transition.

Published November 6, 2025

The Middle East and Fossil Capitalism: Oil, Militarism and the Global Order

The struggle against fossil capitalism is inseparable from struggles for justice in the Middle East.

Published October 28, 2025

Two Transitions

A series of essays on geopolitics, the climate crisis and collective safety in a multipolar world.

Khem Rogaly, Patrick Bigger, Lorah Steichen

Published October 28, 2025